Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.002257 0.002386 0.002523 0.002680 0.002856 0.003049 0.003277
2025-02-23 0.002106 0.002291 0.002499 0.002752 0.003056 0.003417 0.003886
2025-03-02 0.001948 0.002160 0.002406 0.002720 0.003119 0.003621 0.004331
2025-03-09 0.001814 0.002039 0.002307 0.002661 0.003128 0.003749 0.004689
2025-03-16 0.001756 0.002000 0.002301 0.002710 0.003276 0.004075 0.005393
2025-03-23 0.001703 0.001963 0.002289 0.002747 0.003407 0.004392 0.006166
2025-03-30 0.001633 0.001897 0.002235 0.002718 0.003437 0.004559 0.006730
2025-04-06 0.001555 0.001817 0.002154 0.002646 0.003392 0.004594 0.007053
2025-04-13 0.001500 0.001762 0.002106 0.002613 0.003402 0.004720 0.007601
2025-04-20 0.001414 0.001664 0.001991 0.002478 0.003237 0.004518 0.007366
2025-04-27 0.001381 0.001633 0.001969 0.002475 0.003284 0.004701 0.008093
2025-05-04 0.001370 0.001634 0.001988 0.002535 0.003439 0.005113 0.009611
2025-05-11 0.001340 0.001607 0.001971 0.002542 0.003513 0.005397 0.011045
2025-05-18 0.001329 0.001606 0.001990 0.002607 0.003698 0.005966 0.014106
2025-05-25 0.001292 0.001567 0.001952 0.002578 0.003709 0.006149 0.015934
2025-06-01 0.001250 0.001520 0.001900 0.002524 0.003665 0.006192 0.017198
2025-06-08 0.001238 0.001514 0.001909 0.002569 0.003818 0.006777 0.023177
2025-06-15 0.001223 0.001504 0.001911 0.002603 0.003952 0.007366 0.032716
2025-06-22 0.001195 0.001474 0.001879 0.002577 0.003960 0.007593 0.040722
2025-06-29 0.001159 0.001431 0.001827 0.002511 0.003876 0.007511 0.043636
2025-07-06 0.001133 0.001403 0.001796 0.002481 0.003868 0.007674 0.054812
2025-07-13 0.001087 0.001342 0.001715 0.002358 0.003644 0.007080 0.042086
2025-07-20 0.001070 0.001326 0.001701 0.002355 0.003688 0.007401 0.059290